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By Jennifer Lawson
June
12-21, 2001 Australia's East Coast
On Thursday April 19, 2001 the Sunshine Coast north of Brisbane
(QLD, Australia) was rocked by something, but no one knows
for sure what it was, other than it felt like a tremor.
The
earth moved for thousands of Sunshine Coast residents with
reports of tremors rattling windows and rumbling floors
from Yandina to Caloundra. Seismographs in Brisbane did
not show any ground movement, so the culprit was thought
to be the RAAF supersonic training taking place south of
Brisbane.
According
to Wing Commander Rob Lawson, the RAAF's training area was
situated 100 km off the coast between Beenleigh and Tweed
Heads making it extremely unlikely the boom could have caused
tremors north of Brisbane 20 minutes later. It was a low-level
training exercise which means it would be extremely unusual
for shock-waves to propagate that far north without affecting
areas in between.We go supersonic there all the time and
people in Brisbane don't ever notice it.?
Richard
Dudley, a spokesperson with Air traffic control agency Airservices
Australia, said, that while it was possible given certain
weather conditions that the sound of a sonic boom might
travel some distance, it would not explain vibrations people
reported experiencing.
A few
years ago a similar event was felt all the way from Northwest
Mexico and California West Coast north to the Canadian border.
No seismographs were rattled at all, but seismologists announced
that it was a deep seated quake- too far down to effect
seismographs, and most likely was some sort of shift occurring
along tectonic boundaries. More recently in the latest Science
Magazine is an article written by Robert Matas- B.C Quake
Study Heightens Fear of Big One. Matas reports that prior
to the quake that rocked Seattle in January this year, US
scientists had thought that the Juan de Fuca plate was gradually
moving under the North American plate pushing the West Coast
eastward by a few millimeters each year. But a computer
analysis of the 1999 movements in the fall of 2000 indicated
that the North American plate is moving in spurts or discreet
pulses referred to as a silent deep-slip event. Scientists
now believe that these spurts, where a step east is followed
by a much smaller retreat to the west, followed by another
step east, could bring a major quake closer and that one
of these slip events may evolve into a trigger mechanism
for a major earthquake.
There
is so much about earthquakes that seismologists simply don't
understand. Even on the simplest level they don't know the
forces that drive or activate plates and tectonics or whether
a big quake is on its way or not. Seismographs can only
measure activity so far down and when they go beserk and
it a big one- it's usually too late for any warning.
So what
did rattle houses on April 19? What may well have happened
on the Sunshine Coast is a silent deep-slip event - an event
that did not make any impression on seismographs.
In all
probability what everybody felt was a silent deep-slip event
along the intraplate region of the Australian tectonic plate,
the epicentre of which could have been either onshore or
offshore. This possible tremor, if it was that, could be
the first in a possible series, that could lead to a major
quake targeting the Southeast coast from Brisbane to Gladstone
in June. It is also possible for a powerful offshore tremor
to hit the continental slope. Because the Sunshine Coast
was the region that felt the tremor on April 19, this could
be the region that registers further tremors in the coming
weeks. If other tremors do follow this one, then June's
prediction of a major quake could well eventuate.
In my
book Violent Weather Predictions 2000-2001 I drew special
attention to the mid-May through June 2001 period - especially
June 12-22, stating that this time period was one of the
most significant for natural disasters in the form of severe
weather, tornadoes, tropical storms, great floods, and particularly
earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, for the year 2001. Many
areas of the world will be affected during this time-frame,
among them Australia's East Coast, New Zealand and Northern
California.
The
combined influences of the planets Mercury, Mars, Jupiter
will be directly affecting Central to Southeast Queensland
and Northern New South Wales from May 14-18, May 24-31 and
especially June 12-22 when these planets are conjoined by
the Sun and Moon. From May 14-18 Southeast Queensland and
Northern New South Wales could experience heavy rainfall
and thunderstorms which could be quite severe. From May
24-31 and June 12-21 heavy rains, powerful storms and flooding
is more wide-spread, affecting inland to coastal regions
from Far North Queensland south to New South Wales.
Apart
from weather conditions, the potential for a powerful tremor
to rock the Southeast Queensland coast in June, is very
high.
For
the past three months I have researched extensively all
tsunami events that have occurred in the SW Pacific region
over the past 100 years, as well as every Australian earthquake
above 5M that has occurred during that same time period.
From deducing what combinations of planets, sun and moon
were responsible for triggering all these events, my findings
lead me to conclude that events from June 11-21 for Australia's
East Coast will be severe and that in all probability a
powerful tremor is likely to strike onshore or offshore
Southeast Queensland. And dependent on the magnitude- a
possible tsunami.
Because
the Sunshine Coast may have already experienced a deep-seated
tremor, this will be one region that will need close observation
over the coming weeks. Listed below are dates when more
tremors could be experienced on the Sunshine Coast, or elsewhere-
even Brisbane or further south into New South Wales. Some
will coincide with severe weather, others could be more
seismic.
May
9-12 Possible tremor (minor)
May 14-18 Storms, heavy rains
May 24-31 Possible tremor (minor), severe weather, flooding
June 5-8 Possible tremor (minor)
June 11-21 Tremor (severe), severe weather, flooding (especially
June 21)
If tremors
do not occur in May or early June, chances of a major quake
from June 11-21 will be lessened and may not happen at all.
In that case major flooding could be the case. In predictive
work it is extremely difficult at times to differentiate
between a weather-related disaster and seismic activity.
However,
if more tremors are felt in May to early June, then a powerful
quake is very likely to strike onshore/offshore Southeast
Queensland June 11-21, especially June 21. One thing is
for certain. By the end of May and early June the picture
of what is likely to transpire June 12-21 will become much
clearer.
Other
Australian states may also be affected by severe weather,
flooding and maybe tremors, including Cape York, Far North
Queensland to the Gulf of Carpentaria, Northern Territory-
Darwin and Arnhem Land, Kimberley/J.B Gulf region of Western
Australia.
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