Satoshi Yamada Yomiuri Shimbun
Staff Writer Yomiuri Daily
Although the
U.S. space shuttle always gives the impression of orbiting calmly
in space, the truth is somewhat different. When in space, the
shuttle has to constantly check on the orbits of space debris
that might hit it. Such junk floating around in space would cause
enormous damage.
To avoid collisions
with space debris, space shuttle missions follow a basic rule:
If the probability of colliding with debris with a diameter of
10 centimeters or more exceeds 1/10,000 over the subsequent 36
hours, the shuttle's orbit must be changed.
Shuttles have
now made more than 100 flights and on several occasions, they
have been forced to change their orbits to avoid such collisions.
The items
of debris include the obsolete remains of artificial satellites
and rocket parts jettisoned from spacecraft.
It is estimated
that about 2,000 tons of space junk exists at altitudes of up
to 2,000 kilometers. Space debris is especially concentrated in
the orbit used by stationary satellites--at an altitude of 36,000
kilometers--or in the orbit used by satellites for global positioning
systems--an altitude of 20,000 kilometers--or where there are
observation satellites--an altitude of 1,000 kilometers
Scientists
are concerned about the destructive power of space junk. The power
is determined by the mass and speed of the debris. Such fragments
of junk often travel at about eight kilometers per second--20
times faster than the speed of a bullet.
"The
destructive power of a three-millimeter fragment of aluminum debris
is equivalent to that of a bowling ball moving at a speed of 100
kph, Seishiro Kibe of the National Aerospace Laboratory said.
The U.S. space
shuttle is fitted with eight windows of tempered glass. However,
during each mission one window, on average, gets cracked and needs
to be replaced. The cracks are believed to be made by tiny fragments
of space debris with a diameter of only a few millimeters.
In 1996, a
French military satellite was struck by a piece of broken rocket
with a diameter measured in tens of centimeters. In the accident,
the satellite's altitude control system was damaged despite its
robust design. Obviously, the accident caused great concern among
experts in military and space development around the world.
Space debris
varies in size. Scientists estimate there are about 8,900 fragments
of debris with diameters of 10 centimeters or more.
The North
American Aerospace Defense Command, which used to be deployed
for monitoring the nuclear missiles of the former Soviet Union
during the Cold War, is currently monitoring the orbits of space
debris.
It is estimated
that there are 35 million fragments of space debris with diameters
between one millimeter and one centimeter and 100,000 fragments
between one centimeter and 10 centimeters.
The international
space station, which is being jointly built by 16 countries, including
Japan, the United States and Russia, is scheduled to be completed
in 2006. Scientists believe the station, with its altitude of
400 kilometers, will also be threatened by collisions with space
debris several times a year.
In response
to such a scenario, scientists improved the strength of the station's
outer shell design after conducting experiments involving high-speed
collisions of objects.
As a result,
the station is built with a multilayered structure that includes
a layer of aluminum plates and reinforced fiber. The station is
believed to be capable of containing the impact of space debris
up to a diameter of about one centimeter.
But, critics
have pointed out that the station itself, with a total weight
of 450 tons, may become the largest piece of space junk in the
future. Kibe said, "Now we have to pay the price for not
considering methods for the decommissioning of artificial satellites."
The amount
of space debris is still increasing at a rate of 3 percent to
5 percent a year.
'Cleanup
satellite'
Amid concern
over the danger of space junk, scientists have been trying to
develop a satellite that will dispose of the debris.
They plan
to install robot arms on the "cleaning satellite." According
to the scientists, the arms will be able to capture decommissioned
satellites in space and tow them into orbits that will not affect
other active satellites. Another planned method of disposing of
obsolete satellites is to force them down into the atmosphere
so that they burn up.
Cleaning satellites
are being developed at several institutes including the U.S. National
Aeronautics and Space Administration and the National Aerospace
Laboratory in Japan. The organizations hope to have developed
the satellites by 2010.
However, the
retrieval of space junk is considered extremely difficult. Fragments
of debris are not only moving at high speed; in many cases they
are rotating at the same time.
If the cleaning
satellite approaches space debris without adequate preparation,
it might be damaged by the debris. The satellite, therefore needs
a robust design and a highly accurate system for controlling its
altitude and thrust.
Scientists
are also working on measures to prevent the proliferation of space
debris. Specifically, they hope to come up with designs for constructing
satellites that will avoid the later scattering of small pins
and bolts in orbit.
They also
hope to develop a system in which satellites are programmed to
automatically enter the atmosphere after they finish their missions.
Space development
authorities in several countries, including Japan, the United
States, Russia and France, have compiled manuals to prevent the
production of space junk. However, none of them are legally binding.
The reality
is that such preventive measures are not popular because they
increase the cost of developing satellites.
In February
last year, at a U.N. committee meeting on science and technology,
Japan proposed the setting up of a three-year-long project to
compile international rules for preventing space debris.
At the meeting,
Hiroyuki Konno of the National Space Development Agency of Japan
(NASDA) said, "Unless (the proposal) is approved by all countries
acting together in the same way they handle environmental issues
of the Earth itself, the proposal will be meaningless."
Nevertheless,
a large number of countries were reluctant to approve the proposal
out of fears it would lead to an increase in the costs and manpower
required for space development.
NASDA, however,
has yet to give up on its proposal to compile international rules
on space debris and is working to obtain approval from as many
countries as possible.
Meanwhile,
Japan Space Forum, an organization conducting research on space,
has been building an observatory in Biseicho, Okayama Prefecture,
that will become the world's first observatory designed for monitoring
space junk.
In the autumn,
the observatory will be equipped with three types of optical telescopes,
varying in aperture size from 25 centimeters to one meter. The
telescopes are to be used for monitoring space debris in stationary
orbit at altitudes of 36,000 kilometers.
In 2004, a
radar system will be installed in Kamisaibarason in the prefecture
to monitor space debris occupying orbits up to an altitude of
1,000 kilometers.
The facilities
are not only expected to monitor space debris produced by Japanese
satellites but also to provide more information on such space
junk for other countries
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