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May 4, 2001

Foot and Mouth Outbreak Underscores Dangers of Germ Wars


AAP

Diplomats negotiating how to enforce a global ban on biological weapons are looking at Europe's outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease as an example of what could happen if the threat of germ warfare is not eliminated by the international community.

"It's just a clear example of what it could mean in terms of havoc and economic impact," said Tibor Toth, the Hungarian diplomat in charge of multi-year talks to put teeth into the 1972 Biological Weapons Convention.

"We cannot afford to fail."

The foot-and-mouth virus is one of the "agents" on a list of animal diseases that would be covered by the treaty in addition to deadly human strains like the ebola and anthrax.

A document proposed by Toth would set up an organisation to enforce the treaty through a system of international visits to ensure industrial and other facilities are not producing biological weapons.

As it stands, the convention is little more than a pledge to refrain from developing or stockpiling biological weapons. There is no method to prevent cheating.

Toth stressed in an interview with The Associated Press yesterday that no one was suggesting there had been a deliberate start to the cattle epidemic that began in Britain earlier this year, but it showed that it would be easy to put such viruses to hostile use.

He cited a recent editorial in the British journal New Scientist that said the spread of foot-and-mouth disease demonstrated "that a tiny amount of well-placed virus can send a country's farming and tourist industries reeling."

The magazine said that all that was needed was for "a lone fanatic" to wipe a washcloth on the tongue of an infected cow in one country and seal the cloth in a plastic bag until wringing it out in a drinking trough in a target country.

Toth has been pushing the 143 nations that have ratified the treaty to wind up seven years of talks this year by meeting their November 2001 target for signing the anti-cheating addition.

Last week he sought to build momentum by presenting a 210-page compromise document. Since then about 80 per cent of the nations in the talks have signalled at least some support for Toth's proposal, but the United States is among the countries that have yet to react.

Diplomats say China, Iran, India and Pakistan are major countries that appear to be watching to see what Washington will do.

In his speech backing a national missile defence strategy on Tuesday, President George W Bush referred to biological agents as a weapon of mass destruction that must be guarded against, but he didn't signal what he would do about the convention.

An enforcement mechanism was omitted when the treaty was created during the Cold War because no one seriously thought anyone would try to use germ warfare. But the 1991 Gulf War and subsequent discoveries of Iraq's arsenals revised thinking.

Negotiators speedily adopted a treaty in 1992 to ban chemical weapons, but became bogged down on the biological weapons convention.

Even though developments since the Gulf War have increased fears of germ warfare, the talks that began in 1995 have dragged on because of problems such as how to provide for inspection of small laboratories.

Toth said biological weapons posed a greater risk than chemical or nuclear arms because they were simpler and cheaper to make.

Japan's Aum Shinri Kyo cult nearly perfected biological weapons and released batches eight times in downtown Tokyo, Toth said.

The cult failed to cause infection because it produced the wrong size of agent. Those larger or smaller than a couple of microns are ineffective, Toth said. But it would only have been a matter of time until they succeeded, he said.

Toth conceded that his proposal doesn't directly aim to stop bioterrorism, but he said it would indirectly attack the problem by making governments responsible for what happens on their territory.

He said his proposal eliminated some 1,400-plus points of contention in previous drafts by using wording he thought was the best compromise. He said he had written more than 500 pages to explain how he had arrived at his decisions.

It could create a snowballing effect to approve the accord by this summer, Toth said.

 

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